Your Guess Is Better Than Mine

I am underestimater and that’s all there is to it.

I go to Costco about once a week for produce (yes, it’s a lot but you can’t beat the prices!). If I’m by myself, I can make it in and out with just getting what’s on my list. If my kid is with me, I usually end up buying one or two books for him and we never get out of there without going to the Costco Cafe. (I have no idea if that’s the real name of it but it sounds fancy so I like it.) He gets a hot dog and I get a slice of cheese pizza. I’d say I have the Costco pizza at least twice a month, sometimes more. Have you seen a Costco slice? It’s big. And cheesy. And greasy. Here’s a picture in case you haven’t seen it. What do you think the points would be?

I’ve always counted it as 10 points, but honestly, I probably thought it was more like 12. (The fact that I knew it was more and consciously wrote a lower number is a whole other issue!). This last time I had a slice, I did a search for Costco pizza nutritional info, and hold on to your seats because that mother slice is 19 points. 19 freaking points for one piece of pizza. I posted this same question to my Facebook Weight Watchers meeting group and guess what? They were spot on with the estimates. So how could I have so badly underestimated? And more importantly, what else have I been guessing the wrong points for? I do eat out probably more than I should, and more often than not, I eat at places that I don’t have the nutritional info for. So I guess. And my guess now is that my guesses have been way off.

My favorite thing to eat out is the best food truck ever to hit D.C. – Tasty Kabob. They come around my office every Thursday and every Thursday I get the same thing. Lamb over rice with chickpeas. It comes with salad, which really is a few pieces of iceburg lettuce and a tomato. Then they put on top a spicy red sauce and a yogurt sauce. I suppose that if I was really serious, I could measure the rice out and at least measure the lamb in a cup. But I’ve always just estimated. Last time I tracked, I have been tracking it at 18 points, but now I’m sure there’s no way that’s right. My realistic estimate from what comes up in WW eTools is 1 1/2 cups wild rice (6pp), 2 skewers lamb kabob (8pp), 2 tbsp tahini sauce (5pp), 1/2 cup chickpeas (3pp) and 2 pp for whatever the spicy stuff they use is. That’s 24 points, and I just realized that doesn’t include whatever the chickpeas are cooked in. Already, I’ve been off by 6. Every week. Here’s a picture, what would you put the points at? At this point, I’m guessing even the 24 points is off.


Wow, so I know at least two things that I have seriously underestimated the points for, one of which I eat on a regular basis. I’m not saying this is the reason my recent weight loss has been slow (and, of course, by recent I mean the past year), but it has to have impacted it even a little, right? For crying out loud, if I’m off by 6 points for just one meal a week, that has to impact my weight! I’m trying not to be so annoyed at myself and think of this is a lesson learned. For this week, I am not going to eat anything I don’t know the points or have the nutritional info for. Let’s see if it makes any difference on the scale.

5 thoughts on “Your Guess Is Better Than Mine”

  1. My downfall at Costco (or Sam’s, now that we belong to both) is the food samples. Seems so innocent when it’s just a small amount. Usually my husband does the wholesale club shopping, though.

    1. If I’m hungry going in, those samples are going to get me. If I eat before, I can usually pass by them, especially if I’m by myself and can just go get what I need and leave. But it’s tough! Free and delicious!

  2. I love pizza, but WOAH that must be a crazy slice of pie! It’s always a bummer when you find out stuff like that 😦 But it occasionally happens backwards! I discovered how few calories one of the soups at California Pizza Kitchen is and I was like WOAH. I would have overestimated, haha.

  3. I absolutely love Tasty Kabob and realize that it too is probably my biggest downfall with tracking. I normally eat there every time they come by Union Station and I have no idea how to track the points. Did you get any other feedback on your most recent guess at 24 points? I wonder if I tried contacting them via email if they could provide some nutritional information…

  4. I’m at Union Station too. I used to get it every week and now I get it maybe once a month. I’m still estimating 24, but really, it might be higher. I’ve never asked them but it’s worth a shot!

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